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- Bay Windows:
Could it happen here? 23 States voted to define marriage to be between 1 man and 1 woman
Ethan Jacobs helps us understand why homosexual lobbying groups are afraid of the ballot box. Some key findings emerge from his research: When it comes to pre-election polling data on LGBT issues, particularly marriage amendments, the polls often lie, to the benefit of the anti-gay side. ... The pre-election polls in several of the states facing marriage amendments markedly underestimated the support for those amendments on Election Day.
No amount of money can solve 'the problem': in at least 11 states that voted on marriage amendments since 2004 the pro-gay side outspent its opponents, but only one of those states, Arizona, voted down the amendment. In Wisconsin, a state that many observers thought could feasibly defeat its amendment in 2006, pro-gay forces outspent their opponents by a nearly 4-to-1 margin, but the amendment still passed 59 percent to 41 percent.
Apart from Arizona, no matter how strong an effort LGBT advocates made to defeat the amendments, they still lost on Election Day, even after, in some cases, outspending their opponents by several million dollars. LGBT advocates in Colorado last year spent $5.4 million to try to defeat the DOMA amendment and pass the domestic partner bill, according to campaign finance records. By contrast their opponents spent only $1.4 million. On Election Day the DOMA amendment easily passed by 56 percent to 44 percent, and the domestic partner bill failed by a 47 percent to 53 percent margin.